Tolerating two years of a pandemic in no easy (but some manageable) steps
First off, a reminder: Don't listen to random or not-so-random people like me when it comes to predictions about the spread and danger of COVID-19. Listen to the epidemiologists. I suggest starting with: The Imperial College London team , who've done groundbreaking work on previous coronaviruses including SARS and MERS. It's an experienced, all-star team. Trevor Bedford's twitter feed is full of great stuff tracing the path of the coronavirus in Seattle. Adam Kucharski et al. at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine; The work from Christian Althaus's group at the Institute for Social and Preventative Medicine Helen Branswell's reporting on the subject is accurate and lucid. My goal here is to lay out the case that: (1) It's worth doing our collective best at minimizing social contact for a while; and that (2) It won't be as bad in the long run, due to a combination of social and technical factors. In other words, w...